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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+6.06vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+6.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+5.32vs Predicted
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51.91+7.93vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+2.28vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.66vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-1.03vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-3.07vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.64vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-2.09vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-1.35vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.35-2.98vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.43-3.97vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.55-5.43vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.931.910.0%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.14Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.91Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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11.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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11.02College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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11.03Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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12.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% |
| Henry Lee | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 21.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Maks Groom | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.