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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+9.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+3.94vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+4.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+0.78vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+3.18vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.07-1.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.40-5.02vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-2.38vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.54-4.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.15vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.37vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.35-5.78vs Predicted
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181.91-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.94Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.97Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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11.22College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.691.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Henry Lee | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.