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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+10.60vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+9.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+8.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+7.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.43+1.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23+0.53vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.89vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.81+0.26vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.40-3.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.56vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.05vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.64-7.16vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.07-6.15vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-6.36vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-3.71vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.79-7.49vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.39-11.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.6Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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11.5College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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12.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.64Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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9.51Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.