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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+10.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+6.36vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+3.06vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+3.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.35+6.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43+0.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.55+3.43vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+1.16vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10+2.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-6.29vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.33vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-3.35vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-7.19vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.79-7.53vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.43-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.57Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.71Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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8.81Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.47Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.72Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.