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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+8.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+4.06vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+1.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+0.79vs Predicted
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71.91+5.93vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-3.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.30+1.71vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.54-0.43vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.35-0.41vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-3.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.55-3.95vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-6.31vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.16vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-6.83vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.17Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.06Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.931.910.0%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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5.83Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.59College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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10.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Henry Lee | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 20.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.