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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+6.75vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+6.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+8.16vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.81+5.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.03vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+4.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-1.27vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.43-2.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55+0.64vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.53vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-4.82vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-4.43vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.50vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.30-3.58vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.54-5.58vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-5.84vs Predicted
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181.91-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.16Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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11.16College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.73Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.57Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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12.821.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Henry Lee | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.