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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.39vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+2.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+2.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+2.08vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.68-0.90vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21-3.00vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.29-2.03vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.3Yale University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.71Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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4.02Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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4.0Tufts University3.210.2%1st Place
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5.97Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.43Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Urska Kosir | 12.8% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Martin McDonald | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| William Simon | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 23.4% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.0% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Remeika | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 22.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.