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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.55+8.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+5.41vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.10+7.12vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39+0.88vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+2.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-1.00vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.42+1.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-4.15vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.35-0.37vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.23-5.56vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.43-3.38vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.44-4.19vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-4.12vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-6.08vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.40-11.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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6.88Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.22Tulane University2.420.0%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.63College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.81Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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11.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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10.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 16.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Maks Groom | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Zander King | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.