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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+7.42vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+9.67vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.81+6.56vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+3.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.40+1.82vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.55+2.31vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-1.00vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35+1.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.43+0.13vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.64-5.79vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.42-2.19vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-2.59vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.39-8.19vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-5.14vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.44-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.10-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.56Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.53Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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11.53College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.81Tulane University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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6.81Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.0%1st Place
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11.04Georgetown University2.440.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Maks Groom | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Zander King | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Peter Barnard | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.