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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.15vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+8.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+8.05vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+5.85vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.42+5.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.79+2.39vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.81+1.34vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-2.17vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.07-1.55vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.35+0.43vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.33-4.56vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.12vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.95vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.10-7.03vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.43-9.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.55-6.40vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.07Tulane University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.39Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.34Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.43College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.97Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% |
| Zander King | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% |
| Maks Groom | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.