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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+10.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+5.06vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+8.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+6.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.54+5.38vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+6.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.64-1.07vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.40vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.42+1.22vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.39-3.85vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-2.19vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-4.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-4.23vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.43-8.30vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.23-8.36vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.81-7.53vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.10-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.42College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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11.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy2.540.0%1st Place
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12.26University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.22Tulane University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.81Georgetown University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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6.7Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| JJ Klempen | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| Henry Allgeier | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.0% |
| Maks Groom | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Zander King | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.