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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+5.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17+6.71vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.04+6.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.13+5.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.33+2.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.00vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29+0.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.46-1.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.49-2.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.81vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-6.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.64vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.64-10.96vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.01-9.52vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.14-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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10.71Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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11.25Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.91Brown University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.04Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.84Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Jed Lory | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Max Sigel | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% |
| Jack Crager | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 24.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.