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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.64+3.10vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+4.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75+4.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+2.90vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.13+5.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.04+4.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.17+2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.38+0.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.46-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.93vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.49-5.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.14-4.94vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.33-6.73vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.1Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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11.42Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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10.84Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.65Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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13.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.46Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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11.06Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.27University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 13.0% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Jed Lory | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Jack Crager | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 23.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.