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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+8.80vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.13+9.32vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+5.26vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+3.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.64-0.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14+5.01vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.01+0.27vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.17+2.82vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.29+1.33vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.33-1.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.11vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.38-4.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.65vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.04-4.53vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.49-7.37vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.75-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.8Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.32Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.85Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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11.01Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.82Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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13.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.47Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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9.63Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crager | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Peter Cotoia | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Lamm | 17.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% |
| Jack Roman | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 25.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.