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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+7.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+5.48vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.04+8.67vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+5.47vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+2.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.29+4.35vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+2.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.94vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.13+2.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.49-0.21vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.14+0.11vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.64-6.67vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.33-2.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-6.31vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.67vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.17-5.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-7.82vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-9.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.56University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.67Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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9.79Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
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11.11Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island1.330.1%1st Place
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7.69Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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13.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.93Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack Roman | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Ivancich | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% |
| Jack Crager | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Jed Lory | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 25.7% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.