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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.97+4.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.93vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+5.94vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+2.69vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-0.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+5.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.60vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.93+1.60vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22+0.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.54+0.09vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University-1.38-4.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.85vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-3.80vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.02-8.99vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.16-3.41vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-3.63vs Predicted
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18Rollins College-0.06-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Yale University2.5518.3%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University1.978.5%1st Place
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6.93Brown University1.998.2%1st Place
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9.94University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston1.816.2%1st Place
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5.75Georgetown University2.2011.2%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.322.4%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.482.4%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University0.933.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.223.2%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University0.542.5%1st Place
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7.42Jacksonville University-1.386.9%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy1.183.4%1st Place
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10.2Clemson University0.734.0%1st Place
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6.01Tulane University2.0211.1%1st Place
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12.59Northwestern University0.162.6%1st Place
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13.37Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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13.95Rollins College-0.061.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bray | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 14.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 21.2% |
| KA Hamner | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.