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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.68+2.21vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.150.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.16-0.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.37vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.29-0.99vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.00-3.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.18Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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4.0Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.04Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 12.3% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Urska Kosir | 17.7% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| Christopher Remeika | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| William Simon | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.