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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.05+7.58vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.07+2.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+5.20vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.50+2.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+2.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.54vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.70-0.17vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.73-2.16vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.43-2.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.01-2.47vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.95vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.59-6.24vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-0.49vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.41-3.73vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Brown University1.9910.8%1st Place
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9.58University of Rhode Island1.053.9%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston2.0713.9%1st Place
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9.2Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University1.507.0%1st Place
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8.32Tufts University1.515.9%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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7.83Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
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6.84Tulane University1.738.6%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University1.437.6%1st Place
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8.53Boston University1.015.4%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.9%1st Place
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6.76Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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13.51Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.1%1st Place
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11.27SUNY Maritime College0.412.9%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jed Lory | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 45.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 16.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.