← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.64+4.22vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.17+9.17vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.53vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.84+3.92vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.01+2.28vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.49+3.48vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.14+3.98vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+1.00vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.86-1.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.75-1.39vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.33-0.68vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.04-0.22vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.46-3.55vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.13-3.30vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.38-5.09vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.51vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University1.29-6.52vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.22Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
11.17Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
-
8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
7.92University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.28Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.48Brown University1.490.1%1st Place
-
10.98Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
7.84Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.61University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
10.32University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.78Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
-
9.45Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
-
10.7Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
-
13.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
10.48Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
-
8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lamm | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Jack Roman | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Julian Dahiya | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
| Jed Lory | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Max Sigel | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Grace Ivancich | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| Jack Crager | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 26.7% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.