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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.04+10.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.01+5.48vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+5.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17+6.74vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.64-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.38+2.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.49+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+0.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.61vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.14+0.11vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.29-1.25vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.13-2.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-6.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.75-6.73vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.33-5.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-7.79vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.46-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.53Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.21Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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10.74Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.98Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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9.36Brown University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.11Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Ivancich | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Jack Roman | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jed Lory | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 28.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
| Jakub Fuja | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Peter Cotoia | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Max Sigel | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Jack Crager | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.