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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+12.48vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.04+9.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+6.33vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+5.53vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.38+4.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.17+4.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.32vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.64-3.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.49+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.33+0.45vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-2.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.01-4.28vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.13-2.10vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.29-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.75-6.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-6.90vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.14-5.86vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.84-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.64Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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10.89Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.93Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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9.49Brown University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.9Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Odell | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 27.8% |
| Grace Ivancich | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Jack Crager | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Lamm | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Jed Lory | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Jack Roman | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Max Sigel | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Owen Grainger | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.