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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+7.59vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+6.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.49+6.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.17+6.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+3.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14+5.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+2.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.95vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.01-1.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+3.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.64-5.92vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.46-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.33-2.97vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.04-2.99vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.29-4.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.13-4.85vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-8.79vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.38-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
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9.75Brown University1.490.0%1st Place
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10.69Brown University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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11.02Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.08Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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9.98Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island1.330.0%1st Place
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11.01Brown University1.040.0%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.15Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Jed Lory | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Kaitlyn Hamilton | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Max Sigel | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Jack Roman | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 28.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Crager | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Jakub Fuja | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Peter Cotoia | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.