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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.50+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+4.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+4.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.70+2.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.59+0.92vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.10vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College0.41+3.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.07-3.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05-1.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.90vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-4.35vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.43-6.43vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.48vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Fordham University1.507.1%1st Place
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5.63Brown University1.9912.7%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.515.4%1st Place
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7.7Yale University1.707.2%1st Place
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6.92Old Dominion University1.598.3%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University1.738.0%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College0.412.5%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston2.0714.3%1st Place
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9.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.813.9%1st Place
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9.51University of Rhode Island1.054.5%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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8.65Boston University1.014.8%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University1.437.0%1st Place
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13.52Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.4%1st Place
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11.18Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bennett | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Alex Adams | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Wang | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Jed Lory | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 46.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.