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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.34+0.61vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-2.05+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.57+0.50vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.19-0.91vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.61Princeton University0.340.6%1st Place
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4.05Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Delaware-1.570.1%1st Place
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3.09Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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2.75Washington College-0.870.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 59.0% | 26.3% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.5% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 48.9% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 8.1% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 28.5% | 26.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 11.4% | 22.8% | 26.2% | 24.7% | 14.9% |
| Austin Latimer | 17.0% | 28.0% | 26.2% | 20.4% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.