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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+7.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+4.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.85vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+2.59vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+5.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+2.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-1.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80+0.19vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.50vs Predicted
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11University of Miami3.99-2.56vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-2.10vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.91vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-4.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.35vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.21-1.54vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.67College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.19Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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5.5Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.46University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Johns | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Olin Davis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 20.3% |
| Braden Solum | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 45.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.