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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.80vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+7.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+5.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+1.62vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+8.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.51vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.43+0.60vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.07-2.61vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01-0.50vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.70-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05-1.48vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.59-5.09vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-3.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.50-6.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.76vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Tulane University1.738.2%1st Place
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9.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.8%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.516.7%1st Place
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5.62Brown University1.9912.6%1st Place
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13.57Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.4%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.8%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University1.436.3%1st Place
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5.39College of Charleston2.0712.9%1st Place
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8.5Boston University1.015.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University1.707.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island1.053.7%1st Place
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6.91Old Dominion University1.598.0%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University1.507.2%1st Place
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11.24Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Maritime College0.412.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 47.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Jed Lory | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Alex Adams | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.