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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.39+1.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.16+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.26+1.75vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.36+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.11-2.83vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.06-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Dartmouth College1.390.4%1st Place
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4.07Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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4.75University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.3Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.57University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.17Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.03Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 41.5% | 27.3% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| James Frady | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 17.4% | 20.5% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 20.9% | 44.9% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| Isabella Cho | 11.4% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.