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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.39+1.17vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.16+2.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.79vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.11-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-1.04vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-1.06-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Dartmouth College1.390.4%1st Place
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4.04Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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3.31Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.79University of New Hampshire-0.260.1%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University0.110.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.15Bentley University-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.46University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 41.9% | 27.0% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 17.8% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| James Frady | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 9.9% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 11.5% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 31.9% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.