Race 1A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 21.3% 18.5% 15.1% 13.8% 10.3% 7.9% 5.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Broberg 2.6% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.0% 9.8% 11.3% 14.9% 15.2% 12.4%
Eric Brieden 11.2% 13.2% 10.3% 11.3% 11.8% 10.7% 9.0% 7.8% 7.2% 3.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 9.7% 9.3% 9.5% 11.0% 11.8% 8.2% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 6.3% 4.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Sam Childers 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 8.8% 10.7% 9.7% 9.9% 7.8% 6.8% 4.6% 1.0%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 3.9% 5.5% 8.3% 8.1% 9.4% 12.2% 13.6% 13.5% 10.3%
Hayden Johansen 3.2% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 6.3% 7.4% 10.5% 13.1% 18.6% 21.0%
Mary Castellini 14.8% 13.8% 14.4% 10.7% 11.2% 12.1% 7.9% 6.6% 3.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Alden Gort 5.9% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.2% 11.5% 10.1% 10.2% 8.1% 7.8% 3.1%
Wyatt Tait 6.6% 5.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.6% 9.0% 9.2% 8.3% 10.0% 10.7% 8.3% 7.8% 2.9%
Marco Constantini 3.3% 3.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 8.0% 9.9% 10.2% 11.9% 13.1% 8.9% 5.7%
Jack Rutherford 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.5% 5.0% 6.6% 10.1% 18.1% 42.4%
Juan Casal 9.8% 11.8% 11.2% 11.3% 11.4% 11.2% 9.1% 8.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.