Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 21.6% 17.4% 15.6% 13.3% 9.9% 9.2% 4.8% 3.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Casal 11.0% 11.7% 12.6% 11.6% 11.1% 10.2% 8.4% 7.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Mary Castellini 13.0% 15.1% 14.5% 11.1% 11.4% 10.4% 8.4% 6.8% 4.9% 2.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Wyatt Tait 5.0% 6.9% 5.3% 6.7% 9.6% 7.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.1% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 2.7%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.2% 9.6% 11.7% 10.1% 9.3% 9.5% 9.7% 10.3% 6.8% 6.0% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Cole Broberg 2.9% 3.0% 4.3% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.5% 10.6% 12.1% 14.1% 15.2% 11.8%
Eric Brieden 13.2% 12.8% 10.4% 10.7% 11.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.7% 5.4% 4.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Rakesh Dhiman 2.9% 4.0% 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 4.8% 7.9% 8.4% 9.2% 11.9% 15.6% 14.6% 7.5%
Sam Childers 7.1% 6.4% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 10.0% 8.9% 6.5% 4.5% 1.8%
Alden Gort 6.8% 6.1% 5.5% 7.7% 8.3% 9.8% 8.7% 8.2% 9.7% 10.9% 8.9% 5.8% 3.6%
Marco Constantini 3.7% 4.0% 5.4% 7.3% 5.1% 8.0% 7.9% 8.5% 12.8% 11.4% 8.8% 11.8% 5.3%
Hayden Johansen 1.4% 1.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 5.6% 6.7% 5.3% 9.5% 14.0% 19.5% 23.7%
Jack Rutherford 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 12.3% 16.7% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.