← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.56+8.70vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.80+6.02vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.64+5.73vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College4.06+2.83vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.39+4.79vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.34vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University4.36-1.32vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami3.99-0.55vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University4.08-2.19vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.74vs Predicted
-
12Boston College4.43-5.38vs Predicted
-
13Brown University4.30-5.85vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.73-4.61vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.35vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota2.21-1.58vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.78-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.7Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
5.52Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.02Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.73College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
7.83Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
10.79Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
-
8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
6.68Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.45University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
-
6.62Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
-
7.15Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
9.39University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
-
9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
14.42University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.17Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Mac Mace | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Peter Johns | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Olin Davis | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Braden Solum | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 44.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.