← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.70+6.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.53vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University1.73+3.98vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.26vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.50+2.55vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.51+2.51vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.07-1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.05+1.56vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.01-0.60vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18-0.84vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+2.63vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.97-1.01vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.99-7.36vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.76vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.59-8.27vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University1.43-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.88Yale University1.706.2%1st Place
-
7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.5%1st Place
-
6.98Tulane University1.738.0%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.2%1st Place
-
7.55Fordham University1.506.7%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
-
5.37College of Charleston2.0713.5%1st Place
-
9.56University of Rhode Island1.054.2%1st Place
-
8.4Boston University1.015.9%1st Place
-
9.16Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
-
13.63Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.1%1st Place
-
10.99Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
-
5.64Brown University1.9912.3%1st Place
-
11.24SUNY Maritime College0.412.9%1st Place
-
6.73Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
-
7.57Roger Williams University1.436.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 47.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 14.4% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jed Lory | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.