Race 3A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 16.3% 15.3% 13.6% 12.9% 11.4% 10.2% 8.6% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Charlie Herrick 23.9% 20.0% 16.8% 13.1% 9.6% 7.4% 3.6% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Childers 6.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.9% 10.3% 9.7% 10.9% 10.3% 8.7% 7.9% 5.2% 3.2% 0.6%
Juan Casal 12.2% 13.0% 14.0% 13.1% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 6.3% 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 11.2% 11.5% 12.1% 12.0% 9.5% 10.5% 9.6% 8.6% 5.1% 6.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Cole Broberg 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.9% 5.6% 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 11.3% 12.8% 12.5% 15.1% 6.3%
Marco Constantini 5.5% 4.3% 5.7% 7.1% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 11.4% 10.5% 10.7% 12.1% 8.6% 3.4%
Wyatt Tait 6.0% 8.3% 5.8% 7.2% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 12.0% 10.1% 8.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.2%
Alden Gort 6.2% 6.3% 6.7% 7.9% 10.4% 8.6% 10.1% 10.5% 10.1% 9.0% 6.4% 6.1% 1.7%
Caroline Henry 3.6% 4.1% 3.1% 3.6% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.0% 13.9% 14.4% 8.6%
Hayden Johansen 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 5.6% 5.2% 6.4% 10.2% 11.9% 13.8% 17.7% 13.2%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.0% 3.5% 4.9% 3.2% 6.7% 6.9% 8.2% 8.1% 9.1% 11.6% 15.3% 12.4% 7.1%
Benjamin Karle 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 3.3% 5.1% 8.0% 15.7% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.