Race 4A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 15.8% 14.7% 15.1% 12.6% 11.4% 9.5% 8.3% 5.5% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Charlie Herrick 23.9% 19.3% 17.0% 13.7% 9.1% 7.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Juan Casal 11.4% 13.9% 13.5% 10.9% 11.9% 11.2% 9.6% 6.0% 5.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Cole Broberg 2.7% 2.6% 4.1% 5.6% 5.0% 6.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 11.3% 15.0% 14.8% 7.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.7% 12.7% 11.1% 11.2% 9.7% 11.6% 8.9% 7.7% 7.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Alden Gort 7.1% 6.7% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 7.7% 6.9% 5.6% 0.9%
Marco Constantini 5.8% 3.7% 5.6% 7.2% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 10.9% 10.5% 12.1% 12.6% 8.0% 2.9%
Sam Childers 8.0% 8.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.5% 10.1% 11.3% 10.4% 9.5% 6.6% 3.9% 3.1% 0.5%
Wyatt Tait 6.3% 6.5% 7.2% 7.5% 9.6% 8.2% 9.9% 11.5% 9.6% 9.4% 6.9% 5.5% 1.9%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.5% 6.6% 6.0% 8.3% 8.4% 10.7% 10.5% 14.1% 11.9% 7.0%
Hayden Johansen 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 10.4% 12.9% 12.5% 18.3% 13.0%
Caroline Henry 2.1% 3.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 8.6% 9.6% 11.7% 13.9% 16.9% 8.1%
Benjamin Karle 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 5.5% 8.8% 13.6% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.