Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 20.7% 18.7% 16.6% 11.8% 11.2% 6.4% 6.9% 3.2% 2.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 14.3% 13.8% 13.8% 12.8% 10.8% 9.3% 7.4% 7.8% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.0%
Alden Gort 4.9% 4.8% 7.7% 8.4% 7.1% 8.1% 9.9% 9.1% 12.4% 10.5% 8.5% 6.1% 2.5%
Sam Childers 7.0% 6.4% 6.6% 9.8% 10.7% 8.4% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 7.1% 4.2% 1.4%
Eric Brieden 12.9% 13.1% 11.7% 10.7% 10.6% 11.2% 9.0% 7.5% 5.6% 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Marco Constantini 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 4.7% 7.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 11.0% 11.1% 13.1% 11.8% 5.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.4% 11.2% 9.2% 9.4% 9.5% 13.2% 8.7% 8.0% 8.2% 6.5% 2.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Juan Casal 11.5% 12.6% 11.4% 11.6% 9.6% 11.8% 10.1% 8.6% 6.0% 3.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Wyatt Tait 5.6% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.7% 8.4% 10.5% 10.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.6% 6.6% 3.3%
Cole Broberg 3.2% 3.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% 6.8% 8.0% 9.4% 11.3% 14.7% 14.5% 13.1%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.1% 2.8% 4.2% 6.0% 5.5% 5.6% 6.4% 9.4% 10.1% 13.1% 11.8% 13.9% 8.1%
Hayden Johansen 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 2.4% 3.5% 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 6.1% 9.9% 14.0% 19.5% 23.5%
Jack Rutherford 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.8% 2.3% 4.1% 6.1% 7.3% 11.0% 17.4% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.