Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Eric Brieden 12.2% 11.3% 11.5% 11.6% 11.3% 8.9% 10.3% 7.7% 7.8% 3.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Charlie Herrick 21.6% 17.3% 16.1% 13.0% 11.4% 6.9% 6.1% 3.7% 1.4% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Mary Castellini 13.0% 15.7% 12.0% 12.4% 11.5% 10.5% 9.0% 5.7% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Juan Casal 11.0% 11.9% 11.4% 13.5% 10.3% 9.1% 8.9% 8.8% 6.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Alden Gort 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 9.5% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.3% 9.4% 5.9% 2.5%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 4.4% 7.0% 6.9% 6.7% 11.5% 10.9% 14.5% 13.8% 9.7%
Sam Childers 8.1% 7.1% 9.0% 7.2% 7.3% 10.4% 9.9% 10.4% 10.4% 8.1% 6.7% 4.0% 1.4%
Cole Broberg 2.5% 4.5% 3.3% 3.1% 5.6% 4.5% 6.3% 8.6% 8.1% 11.8% 13.4% 18.1% 10.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 9.4% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.8% 10.1% 8.9% 9.2% 7.3% 6.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.6%
Marco Constantini 4.3% 4.4% 3.7% 5.1% 5.9% 8.4% 8.0% 8.8% 10.4% 10.5% 12.3% 10.5% 7.7%
Wyatt Tait 5.9% 5.5% 8.8% 6.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.1% 9.7% 9.8% 8.6% 5.6% 1.8%
Hayden Johansen 1.6% 1.9% 2.8% 2.6% 3.7% 4.4% 4.7% 5.8% 6.4% 10.7% 12.0% 20.0% 23.4%
Jack Rutherford 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 3.9% 5.8% 8.0% 10.6% 17.5% 41.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.