Race 7A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 23.0% 20.5% 14.6% 15.0% 9.2% 6.2% 6.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Casal 13.0% 11.6% 13.5% 12.6% 12.0% 9.8% 8.7% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Mary Castellini 16.2% 15.8% 13.7% 11.5% 12.7% 10.2% 7.4% 5.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Childers 7.1% 8.1% 9.2% 10.4% 9.1% 10.7% 10.0% 9.6% 7.9% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Cole Broberg 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.4% 6.1% 6.1% 7.9% 8.3% 9.5% 12.2% 12.8% 14.8% 6.7%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.5% 11.3% 11.4% 11.7% 11.6% 10.2% 8.7% 8.7% 6.6% 4.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Wyatt Tait 7.2% 6.7% 9.0% 6.5% 8.1% 9.3% 9.3% 10.4% 11.5% 8.0% 8.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Alden Gort 6.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 10.3% 11.1% 9.8% 10.5% 9.5% 5.8% 5.0% 1.2%
Marco Constantini 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.7% 6.6% 9.2% 10.6% 10.3% 11.5% 11.7% 9.9% 3.9%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 4.6% 4.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.0% 10.6% 11.7% 12.6% 12.0% 7.1%
Caroline Henry 2.8% 3.3% 4.1% 5.4% 6.0% 7.1% 5.1% 10.6% 10.4% 12.1% 13.9% 12.5% 6.7%
Hayden Johansen 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 5.7% 6.7% 8.2% 10.5% 14.7% 20.9% 15.0%
Benjamin Karle 0.7% 0.4% 1.2% 0.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 16.1% 56.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.