Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wyatt Tait 6.1% 5.9% 7.3% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 10.2% 9.9% 10.5% 10.0% 7.7% 4.3% 1.4%
Juan Casal 12.1% 12.0% 13.6% 12.9% 12.2% 10.9% 7.9% 7.3% 5.0% 3.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Mary Castellini 15.0% 16.1% 13.8% 12.2% 12.0% 10.7% 7.7% 5.7% 3.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Nicholas Chesemore 10.3% 10.5% 11.8% 11.1% 11.2% 9.9% 10.3% 8.4% 7.5% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Charlie Herrick 26.2% 19.1% 14.8% 14.5% 8.7% 7.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Gort 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 8.2% 8.7% 9.0% 11.2% 10.4% 9.6% 9.7% 6.0% 5.0% 1.6%
Cole Broberg 4.3% 3.8% 3.6% 5.0% 5.4% 6.7% 5.8% 7.8% 11.3% 11.0% 14.1% 13.6% 7.6%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.4% 4.5% 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.9% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 12.7% 13.5% 12.4% 5.0%
Benjamin Karle 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 3.3% 3.9% 3.4% 7.8% 14.5% 57.0%
Hayden Johansen 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 2.8% 3.2% 5.4% 6.2% 6.8% 8.5% 11.1% 13.2% 19.7% 14.4%
Sam Childers 7.5% 9.5% 9.9% 9.1% 10.5% 11.3% 9.5% 10.1% 8.7% 6.7% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
Marco Constantini 3.6% 4.4% 5.0% 6.0% 7.3% 6.4% 8.6% 8.4% 11.4% 12.2% 11.7% 11.1% 3.9%
Caroline Henry 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.0% 5.2% 5.8% 7.5% 9.5% 8.7% 12.3% 16.0% 14.9% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.