Race 9A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mary Castellini 14.5% 13.8% 12.6% 12.1% 12.6% 9.7% 8.3% 7.0% 3.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Charlie Herrick 21.9% 17.4% 16.5% 13.8% 9.9% 6.4% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Chesemore 8.7% 9.5% 12.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.7% 11.1% 8.0% 8.4% 6.2% 5.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Eric Brieden 11.3% 12.3% 11.3% 12.2% 11.6% 9.7% 8.2% 8.3% 6.7% 4.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Jack Rutherford 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 5.6% 5.5% 6.3% 12.1% 15.7% 40.2%
Juan Casal 12.5% 12.0% 11.0% 11.4% 11.2% 11.5% 8.5% 6.8% 6.2% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Cole Broberg 4.1% 2.7% 3.0% 5.4% 5.7% 4.7% 5.8% 5.3% 9.3% 10.8% 14.3% 17.8% 11.1%
Wyatt Tait 5.5% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 10.0% 8.9% 11.6% 11.0% 10.1% 8.0% 5.5% 3.0%
Alden Gort 5.6% 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.9% 11.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 7.5% 8.1% 2.9%
Marco Constantini 4.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.7% 8.8% 11.4% 11.8% 10.5% 8.5%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.3% 3.0% 4.2% 4.8% 5.7% 5.9% 6.4% 9.7% 9.7% 12.5% 13.8% 11.8% 9.2%
Hayden Johansen 1.3% 2.3% 2.7% 2.5% 3.9% 4.5% 3.7% 5.1% 8.0% 9.5% 13.0% 20.7% 22.8%
Sam Childers 5.5% 7.7% 7.5% 8.9% 8.0% 9.2% 10.6% 9.7% 10.9% 9.3% 6.6% 4.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.