Race 10A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mary Castellini 14.6% 12.1% 14.5% 14.2% 11.9% 12.1% 6.4% 6.1% 4.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Eric Brieden 11.4% 13.0% 12.6% 11.6% 12.6% 10.0% 10.2% 8.7% 4.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Sam Childers 8.0% 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 9.1% 10.5% 12.2% 12.0% 10.8% 7.2% 4.8% 1.8%
Cole Broberg 2.3% 3.2% 2.5% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 9.9% 9.0% 12.0% 14.2% 17.5% 13.1%
Charlie Herrick 22.6% 19.8% 15.2% 13.0% 11.0% 6.2% 4.4% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 5.2% 7.7% 7.1% 6.1% 7.9% 9.9% 11.1% 11.3% 11.3% 12.4% 6.6% 3.4%
Alden Gort 6.3% 7.4% 6.6% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 9.2% 11.4% 11.3% 10.8% 7.2% 3.2%
Juan Casal 13.5% 13.0% 11.0% 12.4% 10.8% 11.5% 9.2% 7.1% 5.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.8%
Nicholas Chesemore 9.0% 10.5% 12.6% 12.7% 11.7% 11.1% 11.1% 8.1% 6.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Hayden Johansen 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 2.4% 3.9% 4.2% 5.6% 7.8% 10.3% 14.3% 21.6% 21.8%
Rakesh Dhiman 3.4% 2.4% 4.4% 3.9% 5.4% 6.2% 7.8% 10.0% 13.2% 13.4% 17.2% 12.7%
Jack Rutherford 1.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 4.4% 7.6% 13.0% 18.5% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.