Race 11A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mary Castellini 16.3% 14.8% 15.8% 13.9% 12.5% 9.5% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Charlie Herrick 24.0% 22.6% 15.5% 14.4% 8.4% 6.0% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 7.1% 6.2% 7.9% 8.1% 10.5% 10.1% 10.6% 11.3% 13.2% 8.6% 4.3% 2.1%
Sam Childers 7.0% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 12.0% 10.6% 10.5% 11.2% 8.1% 6.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Hayden Johansen 1.6% 3.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.5% 6.6% 6.5% 8.4% 9.5% 14.9% 21.9% 16.5%
Juan Casal 13.5% 13.3% 14.6% 12.0% 12.6% 11.8% 8.8% 6.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 11.7% 12.0% 12.5% 11.9% 11.8% 11.1% 9.2% 8.6% 5.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3%
Cole Broberg 3.4% 5.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 5.6% 8.7% 11.5% 11.1% 15.1% 15.2% 9.0%
Benjamin Karle 0.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.9% 3.1% 5.6% 10.4% 15.2% 55.4%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.2% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 8.8% 10.5% 13.9% 15.2% 12.5% 6.4%
Caroline Henry 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.6% 5.1% 7.6% 7.3% 10.9% 13.8% 13.6% 18.8% 8.3%
Alden Gort 7.5% 5.4% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 12.7% 10.6% 11.2% 8.5% 5.8% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.