Race 12A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlie Herrick 24.1% 20.2% 16.5% 15.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Wyatt Tait 5.9% 6.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 9.7% 12.7% 10.5% 10.9% 9.3% 5.8% 1.4%
Juan Casal 13.6% 13.4% 14.1% 11.9% 12.8% 11.5% 8.4% 6.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Rakesh Dhiman 2.9% 4.2% 3.7% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 9.0% 12.2% 11.0% 15.7% 13.4% 7.1%
Mary Castellini 15.9% 18.4% 14.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.9% 7.0% 4.9% 2.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Chesemore 12.0% 10.4% 12.7% 11.2% 12.5% 10.1% 12.0% 8.5% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.3%
Sam Childers 9.1% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 10.9% 8.8% 10.3% 6.1% 3.2% 1.2%
Hayden Johansen 2.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.5% 3.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.8% 14.7% 13.2% 20.6% 14.5%
Cole Broberg 3.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 7.7% 10.1% 11.4% 12.4% 14.9% 15.6% 6.4%
Alden Gort 7.3% 7.2% 7.5% 8.1% 10.9% 9.5% 11.1% 12.2% 11.1% 8.5% 5.6% 1.0%
Caroline Henry 2.8% 3.3% 3.1% 4.9% 6.5% 7.2% 6.9% 11.8% 11.2% 15.9% 17.4% 9.0%
Benjamin Karle 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 7.5% 15.5% 58.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.