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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.42vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+4.08vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.36+2.87vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.43+1.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.56+2.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.73+1.09vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80+0.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-2.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-1.19vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-1.43vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.91vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.99-5.61vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-5.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-3.28vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota2.21-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.22St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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6.87Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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9.17Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.81College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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10.57Georgetown University3.390.0%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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14.43University of Minnesota2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Olin Davis | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Mac Mace | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Peter Johns | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| Braden Solum | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.