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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.70+6.69vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+7.15vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.41+8.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+5.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+0.53vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+2.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.62vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.73-1.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.07-3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-0.36vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.59-4.24vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.43-4.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.01-4.56vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.50-6.36vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.42vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Yale University1.707.7%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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11.16SUNY Maritime College0.412.8%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.1%1st Place
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5.53Brown University1.9911.9%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.515.7%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.9%1st Place
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6.94Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston2.0713.6%1st Place
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9.64University of Rhode Island1.053.8%1st Place
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6.76Old Dominion University1.598.8%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University1.436.2%1st Place
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8.44Boston University1.015.0%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University1.507.2%1st Place
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13.58Maine Maritime Academy-0.331.0%1st Place
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10.97Salve Regina University0.972.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Adams | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% |
| Emma Wang | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jed Lory | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 50.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.