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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.30+2.39vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.20+1.07vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.34+0.34vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-0.23vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.46-1.35vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.00+2.38vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.63+0.71vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.55-5.84vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-2.42-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.07Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.34Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.77Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.65Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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8.73Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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10.71Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.4Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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10.58Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 21.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Cole Abbott | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kate Hennig | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 3.5% |
| Brady Boland | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 45.9% |
| Connor Bricco | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 27.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Fergus Munro | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Lawrence Busse | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 11.6% | 19.3% | 27.2% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.