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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.26+4.24vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.34+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+0.60vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.20+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.55+0.89vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.30-1.74vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65+0.70vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.46-3.24vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-3.00+1.39vs Predicted
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11Hope College-2.63-0.31vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.16-4.30vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-2.42-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.39Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.6University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.03Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.71Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.7Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.76Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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10.69Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.7Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.62Northern Michigan University-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 21.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Shabino | 11.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Fergus Munro | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% |
| Kate Hennig | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Brady Boland | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 22.1% | 45.7% |
| Connor Bricco | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 25.7% | 23.8% |
| Andrew Down | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Lawrence Busse | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 19.2% | 26.2% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.