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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.26+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.30+3.39vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.34+2.51vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.46+1.86vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.16+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.55+0.09vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.43-3.42vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.50-3.13vs Predicted
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10Washington University-1.65-1.23vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-0.20-5.90vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.12-4.28vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-3.00-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.51Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.86Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.64Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.87Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.77Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.1Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.72Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Cole Abbott | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Kate Hennig | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Down | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 6.4% |
| Fergus Munro | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 22.1% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 28.7% | 10.9% |
| Brittany Shabino | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Brady Boland | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 12.1% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.