← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University-0.46+4.94vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-0.20+3.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota-0.55+3.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin-0.26+1.35vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.50+0.96vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.43-2.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan-0.30-1.60vs Predicted
-
8Washington University-1.65+0.73vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University-0.34-3.63vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-1.16-2.46vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-1.12-3.28vs Predicted
-
12University of Saint Thomas-3.00-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.94Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.16Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
6.13University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
-
5.96Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
3.62University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
-
5.4University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
-
8.73Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.37Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
7.54Arizona State University-1.160.1%1st Place
-
7.72Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
-
11.06University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hennig | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Brittany Shabino | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Fergus Munro | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Nigel Yu | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nok In Chan | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 21.8% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 27.6% | 13.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Down | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 5.8% |
| Brady Boland | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.