← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University-0.46+4.69vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan-0.30+2.24vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.34+1.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.43-1.44vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota-0.55-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-2.63+3.10vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University-0.50-2.37vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University-0.20-4.26vs Predicted
-
10Washington University-1.65-1.59vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-1.16-4.49vs Predicted
-
13University of Saint Thomas-3.00-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.69Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
-
5.1University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
-
5.24University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
-
5.32Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.56University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
-
5.87University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
-
10.1Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
-
5.63Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
-
4.74Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
8.41Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.51Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hennig | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 22.8% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Bricco | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 12.4% | 30.8% | 33.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 7.4% |
| Andrew Down | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 3.0% |
| Brady Boland | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 23.3% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.