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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-0.46+4.73vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+3.72vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-0.55+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.26+0.12vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.34-0.65vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-2.11vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.16-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.30-3.96vs Predicted
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11Washington University-1.65-2.65vs Predicted
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12Hope College-2.63-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-3.00-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.72Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.9University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.35Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.89Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.23Arizona State University-1.160.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.35Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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10.32Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Hennig | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 23.0% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 7.1% |
| Connor Bricco | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 11.4% | 32.9% | 35.3% |
| Brady Boland | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 24.4% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.