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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.26+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.55+4.15vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.46+2.86vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.43-0.35vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.34+0.57vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.20-0.86vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.50-1.12vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.30-3.76vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.12-2.50vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.16-4.15vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-3.00-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.86Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.57Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.14Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.88Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.72Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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7.5Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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7.85Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Yu | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Fergus Munro | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 19.8% | 21.1% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 13.6% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Down | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 6.1% |
| Brady Boland | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 12.6% | 70.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.