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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.50+5.05vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.26+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+0.62vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.34+1.57vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.12+2.52vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.55+0.09vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.20-1.94vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.46-2.18vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.16-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.30-4.62vs Predicted
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12Washington University-1.65-3.04vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas-3.00-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Wisconsin-0.260.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.57Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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7.52Hope College-1.120.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.82Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.58Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.96Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 22.1% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Sligh | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 5.8% |
| Fergus Munro | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Brittany Shabino | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 3.6% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 26.6% | 14.7% |
| Brady Boland | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.