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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.80+1.05vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.65+5.59vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.46+1.93vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.20+0.20vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.34-0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.30-1.61vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.55-2.06vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.50-3.20vs Predicted
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10Hope College-2.63+0.24vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.16-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-3.00-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Wisconsin0.800.3%1st Place
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8.59Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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5.93Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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5.55Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.8Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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10.24Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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7.63Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 18.1% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 26.7% | 22.2% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 7.5% |
| Kate Hennig | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Brittany Shabino | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Fergus Munro | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Nok In Chan | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Connor Bricco | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 30.4% | 33.9% |
| Andrew Down | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 3.3% |
| Brady Boland | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 24.8% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.