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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.34+4.63vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.20+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.55+3.15vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.80-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.43-1.28vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.46-0.17vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.16+0.48vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-0.50-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-0.30-3.43vs Predicted
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10Washington University-1.65-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-3.00+0.08vs Predicted
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12Hope College-2.63-1.38vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-3.74-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Northwestern University-0.340.1%1st Place
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5.24Marquette University-0.200.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Minnesota-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Wisconsin0.800.3%1st Place
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3.72University of Wisconsin0.430.2%1st Place
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5.83Texas A&M University-0.460.1%1st Place
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7.48Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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5.88Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Michigan-0.300.1%1st Place
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8.66Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Saint Thomas-3.000.0%1st Place
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10.62Hope College-2.630.0%1st Place
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12.1Northern Michigan University-3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brittany Shabino | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fergus Munro | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Seamus Hendrickson | 27.6% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 19.3% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Hennig | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Brady Boland | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 21.8% | 32.1% | 22.0% |
| Connor Bricco | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 23.1% | 30.6% | 15.0% |
| Leo Barch | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 21.2% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.